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How Popular Is Donald Trump?

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Mitt Romney is not necessarily poised to lose, however: he led President Obama among independents in both the Ohio and Virginia exit polls. The election also marked a success for gay and lesbian voters. Main article: Shortly after FiveThirtyEight relocated to The New York Times, Silver introduced his prediction models for the 2010 elections to the U. The last time a FiveThirtyEight forecast had projected such a close race was in the 2008 senate race in Minnesota, when our final pre-election forecast had given the Democrat, Al Franken, a nominal 0. In contrast, individual pollsters were less successful. They make me enjoy listening, and keep my attention more than conventional newscasts, where the information is just read out in a monotone.

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‎FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts

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Is this a subreddit for people who are politically neutral? It dropped to 20 in the second week, before rising to 13 in the third, and remaining on the non-fiction hardback top 15 list for the following 13 weeks, with a highest weekly ranking of 4. These include statistical analysis, but also data visualization, computer programming and data-literate reporting. As his model predicted, the races in and were particularly close. Obama had a two-thirds advantage with non-Cuban Hispanics in the exit poll, however — and they made up 10 percent of the voting population, compared with 6 percent for Cuban-Americans. That race ended in a recount, with Mr. They will control 52 to 56 seats when the Senate meets in January, depending on the outcome of the uncalled races in Nevada, Montana and North Dakota, and whether former Gov.

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FiveThirtyEight

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Virginia closed its polls at 7 p. The Best American Infographics 2014, Houghton Mifflin Harcourt. Want to know how Stacey Abrams feels about identity politics? Romney leads have reported 100 percent of their ballots. But the 2016 primary seems almost certain to be epic. Every Tuesday and Friday, Matthew Yglesias is joined by Ezra Klein, Dara Lind, Jane Coaston and other Vox voices to dig into the weeds on important national issues, including healthcare, immigration, housing, and everything else that matters. Much of the coverage this week has centered around Iran, but what impact has this had on our already-fragile relationship with Iraq? This fall, visits to the Times' political coverage including FiveThirtyEight have increased, both absolutely and as a percentage of site visits. Unlike pre-order items, we have stock products physically on-hand and ready to ship.

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Nate Silver

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Silver was named one of by in 2009 after an election forecasting system he developed successfully predicted the outcomes in 49 of the 50 states in the. The idea behind is to set up a neutral space where those of differing opinions can come together and rationally lay out their respective arguments. He applied techniques to a broad range of topics including forecasting the performance of individual players, the economics of baseball, metrics for the of players, and developing an for Major League baseball. Silver showed a proficiency in math from a young age. If you have any questions, shoot us an email at and we'd be glad to help.

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FiveThirtyEight

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We do not allow polls, surveys or requests for fact checking. Florida has a significant Cuban-American population, and those voters tend be more Republican-leaning than other Hispanics. Romney there, 62 percent to 37 percent. How the bloody hell did that happen? It will retain its own identity akin to other Times blogs like , but will be organized under the section. He is the founder and editor-in-chief of and a Special Correspondent for.

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Data and Code Behind the Stories and Interactives at FiveThirtyEight • fivethirtyeight

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At the beginning of this decade Chenoweth co-authored Why Civil Resistance Works, a landmark study showing that nonviolent movements are twice as effective as violent ones. That Silver accurately predicted the outcome of the 2012 presidential race, in the face of numerous public attacks on his forecasts by critics, inspired many articles in the press, ranging from , to online and mainstream newspapers, news and commentary magazines, business media, trade journals, media about media, and , as well as a feature interview on , a return appearance on , and an appearance on Silver's first appearance on as Editor-in-Chief of the new FiveThirtyEight. Obama so far, has had only 12 percent of its precincts report. How are the Iranian people responding? It is designed primarily for two uses: fans interested in , and professionals in the baseball business trying to predict the performance and of major league players. Who is Soleimani and why is he so influential? My husband I used to really enjoy this podcast. Miami-Dade County is heavily Hispanic and favorable terrain for Mr. Both in summary tables and in an electoral map, Silver forecast the winner of each state.

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